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During election years the average stock performance tends to be higher compared to non-election years. Historically, only four election years have seen negative stock performance, each due to significant events: The Great Depression, World War II, The tech bubble burst, and the Financial Crisis of 2008. Since 1926, 83% of election years have yielded positive returns, whereas only 70% of non-election years have seen gains. This trend underscores the impact of political cycles on market performance, with investor optimism often peaking during election periods.

 

Election graphic